4-Gig Fibre Channel Adoption: What to Expect Page 2
Scenarios for 4-Gig FC Adoption
This gives three different scenarios for adoption of 4-Gig FC:
- In most cases, companies will just move existing operations from 2G to 4G as they add capacity or replace existing equipment. Within roughly the next two years, 4G will be more reliable and cheaper than 2G. It would be like buying a new PC. Even if you could get by with an 800 MHz CPU, it is likely that you will get one in the 3 GHz range because that is what is on the market currently. Since 4G FC will be no more expensive than 2G, there will be no reason to go with the slower systems, even if they are available.
- Tape backup systems are one part of a network that can benefit from the higher speed, as it allows them to perform faster backups. These will likely go to 4G, though it is not yet certain. StorageTek, for example, had not committed to 4G as of early January. Rather, it is considering going straight to the non-backward-compatible 10 Gbps (10G) Fibre Channel spec.
- Companies that have deployed highly customized applications that they can't risk degrading while optimized drivers are developed will stay with 1G/2G FC, even though they may have to pay a premium for this older technology.
But for most companies, there is no compelling need to upgrade, as the FC bit rate isn't typically the bottleneck limiting the performance of their systems. In other words, it won't improve service and performance levels if all it does is flood the server host bus faster than the processor can handle the data.
"For most companies, the decision to purchase FC products will have nothing to do with a need for more speed," says Villars. "Rather it will be driven by cost and product availability."
Those products will start becoming available toward the end of this year, with all the FC vendors shipping these products by the middle of 2005. After that, it will follow a similar growth curve as 2G FC, reaching ninety percent penetration by mid 2007. By that point, the data rate will probably have doubled once again, and we will see 8G FC, which would be backwards compatible with 1G, 2G, and 4G. But that decision will be made by the component manufacturers, not the SAN OEMs.
"The next generation is always going to be cheaper than the current one, even if it has more capabilities," says Villars. "As the storage industry becomes more dependent upon third-party component manufacturers to build lower cost hardware, storage OEMs will have less and less control over the timing of new technology developments."
Feature courtesy of EITPlanet.
Back to Enterprise Storage Forum